Oleksandria 2-2 Rukh Vynnyky — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
44%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.2pp
44%
Away Win
36%
+8.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
0.91/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.16
-17% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Rukh Vynnyky
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
26.09.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-1 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKRK
04.06.2023 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
28.11.2022 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-1 HT 0-0 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky UKR
31.10.2021 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
02.05.2021 Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky 2-1 HT 0-1 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Rukh Vynnyky
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria and Rukh Vynnyky shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rukh Vynnyky at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Oleksandria and 0.50 for Rukh Vynnyky.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Oleksandria 2-2 Rukh Vynnyky in the Ukraine - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Rukh Vynnyky?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rukh Vynnyky win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 32%, draw 24%, Rukh Vynnyky 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rukh Vynnyky) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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