Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 Progreso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Progreso EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.05/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.30
-10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Progreso
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2021 Progreso Progreso 3-1 HT 2-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
31.07.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
22.03.2021 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-1 Progreso Progreso URU
20.09.2020 Progreso Progreso 3-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.10.2019 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Progreso Progreso URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2-0
AWAY Progreso
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Montevideo Wanderers beat Progreso 2-0 in the Uruguay - Premier League on 4 May 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 50% of the ball to Progreso's 50%, shots finished 15-14.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Progreso lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 2.00 for Progreso.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso?

Montevideo Wanderers 2-0 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 36%, draw 30%, Progreso 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Montevideo Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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4 May 2024
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