Richmond Kickers 1-1 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.27/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.30
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
323 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
19.2 Crosses 20.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
0W-2D-0L
AWAY One Knoxville
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.43 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
294 Passes 309
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 4
07.10.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-2 HT 2-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
25.06.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-2 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
1-1
AWAY One Knoxville
1.56 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
319 Passes 275
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richmond Kickers and One Knoxville couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was One Knoxville at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 53% of the ball to One Knoxville's 47%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Richmond Kickers and 2.00 for One Knoxville.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?

Richmond Kickers 1-1 One Knoxville in the USA - USL League 1 on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 32%, draw 27%, One Knoxville 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (One Knoxville), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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