Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Shaanxi Union — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.41
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
72%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.8pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Shaanxi Union EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.33/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/0.72
+9% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +91%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
25.5 Crosses 8.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2-1
AWAY Shaanxi Union
1.42 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Shaanxi Union
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang edged past Shaanxi Union 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 52% of the ball to Shaanxi Union's 48%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.42 to 1.38.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Shaanxi Union?

Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Shaanxi Union in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Shaanxi Union?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 62%, draw 24%, Shaanxi Union 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✓ Over 2.5
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