Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.04/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.51
+24% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +73%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.0 Crosses 26.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.92 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 234
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-0 HT 0-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
03.11.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 1-0 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
14.07.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-1 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions ÇİN2
30.06.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.03.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1-1
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
0.83 xG 0.81
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
226 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Qingdao Red Lions couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 43% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 57%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.83 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 0.40 for Qingdao Red Lions.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 38%, draw 29%, Qingdao Red Lions 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Foshan Nanshi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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