Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.83
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.19/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.51
+25% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.8 Crosses 38.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.91 xG 1.45
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
191 Passes 308
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
16.03.2024 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-0 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
1-1
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
0.65 xG 0.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 205
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Qingdao Red Lions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 60% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 40%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.65 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 0.00 for Qingdao Red Lions.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Foshan Nanshi 1-1 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foshan Nanshi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 39%, draw 30%, Qingdao Red Lions 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Foshan Nanshi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Foshan Nanshi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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