Yanbian Longding 1-1 Wuxi Wugou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.42
2-3 Goals
33%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.47
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 31% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.70/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.71
-25% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
14.9 Crosses 20.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.63 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
327 Passes 281
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 2-0 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
19.08.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-2 HT 0-1 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
10.05.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 0-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
1-1
AWAY Wuxi Wugou
1.26 xG 0.84
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
373 Passes 197
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Wuxi Wugou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding and Wuxi Wugou shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Yanbian Longding at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 62% of the ball to Wuxi Wugou's 38%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.26 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wuxi Wugou led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yanbian Longding and 1.33 for Wuxi Wugou.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Wuxi Wugou?

Yanbian Longding 1-1 Wuxi Wugou in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Wuxi Wugou?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 44%, draw 24%, Wuxi Wugou 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yanbian Longding), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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