Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.82
6+ Goals
8%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liaoning Shenyang EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.16/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.96
+19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
15.8 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
0W-4D-1L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.53 xG 1.18
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
222 Passes 429
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-1 HT 0-1 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
09.09.2023 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 0-0 HT 0-0 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
27.05.2023 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 4-0 HT 3-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
29.11.2022 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang 1-1 HT 0-1 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun ÇİN2
04.11.2022 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 2-2 HT 0-0 Liaoning Shenyang Liaoning Shenyang ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liaoning Shenyang
2-1
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.47 xG 0.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
267 Passes 431
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liaoning Shenyang squeezed past Guangxi Baoyun 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liaoning Shenyang as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Liaoning Shenyang had 41% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 59%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.47 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guangxi Baoyun led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Liaoning Shenyang and 1.60 for Guangxi Baoyun.

What was the final score of Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Liaoning Shenyang 2-1 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liaoning Shenyang vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liaoning Shenyang win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Liaoning Shenyang 41%, draw 28%, Guangxi Baoyun 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liaoning Shenyang) ✗ Under 2.5
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