Wuxi Wugou 2-0 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.56
Over 2.5
34%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.02
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 36% vs market 35.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
60%
+5.3pp
34%
Over 2.5
40%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuxi Wugou EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 45%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.59/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.36
+123% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
11.8 Crosses 17.5
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuxi Wugou
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.36 xG 0.80
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
242 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
9 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
19.08.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 2-2 HT 0-1 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou ÇİN2
10.05.2023 Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou 0-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuxi Wugou
2-0
AWAY Yanbian Longding
1.05 xG 0.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
360 Passes 332
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
4 Box Touches 11
7 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wuxi Wugou vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuxi Wugou beat Yanbian Longding 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Wuxi Wugou made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Wuxi Wugou had 51% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 49%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wuxi Wugou and 1.00 for Yanbian Longding.

What was the final score of Wuxi Wugou vs Yanbian Longding?

Wuxi Wugou 2-0 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuxi Wugou vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Wuxi Wugou 32%, draw 32%, Yanbian Longding 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yanbian Longding) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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