Yunnan Yukun 2-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.0
6+ Goals
9%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.1pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.9pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yunnan Yukun
2-1
AWAY Nanjing City
0.73 xG 0.72
68% Ball Possession 32%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
531 Passes 206
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yunnan Yukun vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun nicked a narrow win over Nanjing City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yunnan Yukun had 68% of the ball to Nanjing City's 32%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.73 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Yunnan Yukun vs Nanjing City?

Yunnan Yukun 2-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yunnan Yukun vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yunnan Yukun 41%, draw 33%, Nanjing City 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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