Eastbourne Borough 1-2 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 33% vs market 31.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.28/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.14
-3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2025 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-0 HT 0-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
26.11.2024 Maidstone United Maidstone United 3-1 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
29.03.2024 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 1-5 HT 1-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
07.11.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
12.02.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-3 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
09.10.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-2 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-2
AWAY Maidstone United
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United nicked a narrow win over Eastbourne Borough 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Maidstone United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 55% of the ball to Maidstone United's 45%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 2.17 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Maidstone United?

Eastbourne Borough 1-2 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 37%, draw 30%, Maidstone United 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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4 May 2025
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