Eastbourne Borough 1-5 Maidstone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 33% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.45/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.46
+9% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Maidstone United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.11.2023 Maidstone United Maidstone United 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
12.02.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-3 HT 0-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
09.10.2021 Maidstone United Maidstone United 0-2 HT 0-0 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
12.01.2021 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 2-3 HT 2-2 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
14.03.2020 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-0 HT 1-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-5
AWAY Maidstone United
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Maidstone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United swept aside Eastbourne Borough 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Maidstone United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 37% of the ball to Maidstone United's 63%, shots finished 4-25.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Maidstone United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.60 for Maidstone United.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Maidstone United?

Eastbourne Borough 1-5 Maidstone United in the England - Conference on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Maidstone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 36%, draw 31%, Maidstone United 33%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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