Gloucester City 1-1 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 58%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.63/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.78
+35% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
219 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gloucester City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Brackley Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.11.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
03.05.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 2-2 HT 0-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
28.01.2023 Brackley Town Brackley Town 4-0 HT 3-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
27.08.2022 Gloucester City Gloucester City 0-1 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
05.02.2022 Gloucester City Gloucester City 0-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town İCON
30.10.2021 Brackley Town Brackley Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gloucester City
1-1
AWAY Brackley Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gloucester City vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City and Brackley Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brackley Town at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gloucester City had 50% of the ball to Brackley Town's 50%, shots finished 5-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brackley Town led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gloucester City and 1.83 for Brackley Town.

What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Brackley Town?

Gloucester City 1-1 Brackley Town in the England - Conference on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 26%, draw 25%, Brackley Town 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brackley Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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