Boston United 2-1 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2024

Boston United
2-1 HT 2-0
Peterborough Sports
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2023/2024

Boston United vs Peterborough Sports Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 31% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boston United v Peterborough Sports — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.94/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.17
+8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Boston United vs Peterborough Sports Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.11.2023 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-2 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
25.02.2023 Boston United Boston United 0-0 HT 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İCON
05.11.2022 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 1-1 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON

Boston United 2-1 Peterborough Sports — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston United
2-1
AWAY Peterborough Sports
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United nicked a narrow win over Peterborough Sports 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boston United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boston United had 54% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 46%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Boston United had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boston United and 0.33 for Peterborough Sports.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Peterborough Sports?

Boston United 2-1 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boston United 44%, draw 29%, Peterborough Sports 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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