Buxton vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Buxton v Chester — Team-Based Signals
Buxton vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Buxton
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Chester
İCON
Buxton 1-4 Chester — Actual Match Statistics
Chester ran out comfortable winners over Buxton 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Buxton had 51% of the ball to Chester's 49%, shots finished 4-10.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Buxton and 1.33 for Chester.
What was the final score of Buxton vs Chester?
Buxton 1-4 Chester in the England - Conference on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Buxton vs Chester?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Buxton 32%, draw 27%, Chester 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.