Yeovil 3-0 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 27% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 24%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.18/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.99
+21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Torquay United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil FAK
07.11.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 1-3 HT 0-2 Yeovil Yeovil İCON
01.01.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 2-0 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
26.12.2022 Torquay United Torquay United 1-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
02.01.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 1-2 HT 0-0 Torquay United Torquay United İBSL
26.12.2021 Torquay United Torquay United 3-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil ran out comfortable winners over Torquay United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Yeovil as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torquay United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yeovil and 1.50 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Torquay United?

Yeovil 3-0 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 48%, draw 25%, Torquay United 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeovil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeovil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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