Alfreton Town 1-0 Rushall Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rushall Olympic EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.03/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.55
+22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alfreton Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rushall Olympic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.11.2023 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic 1-1 HT 0-1 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alfreton Town
1-0
AWAY Rushall Olympic
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 11
POST-MATCH Alfreton Town vs Rushall Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alfreton Town edged past Rushall Olympic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alfreton Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alfreton Town had 48% of the ball to Rushall Olympic's 52%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Rushall Olympic?

Alfreton Town 1-0 Rushall Olympic in the England - Conference on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Rushall Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 45%, draw 29%, Rushall Olympic 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alfreton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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