Gefle 1-2 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-6.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.5pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.93/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.97
-8% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -33%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
1-2
AWAY Stocksund
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stocksund squeezed past Gefle 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Gefle carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gefle had 56% of the ball to Stocksund's 44%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Stocksund?

Gefle 1-2 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gefle 57%, draw 21%, Stocksund 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gefle), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gefle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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