Karlbergs BK 2-3 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 48%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
2.27/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.40
+61% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
298 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlbergs BK
0W-0D-2L
AWAY IF Karlstad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
09.11.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 2-4 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
08.05.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-1 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
2-3
AWAY IF Karlstad
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad squeezed past Karlbergs BK 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IF Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 41% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 59%, shots finished 5-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Karlbergs BK and 3.00 for IF Karlstad.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs IF Karlstad?

Karlbergs BK 2-3 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 34%, draw 23%, IF Karlstad 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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