Karlbergs BK 2-4 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.0pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 43%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.02/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.11
+39% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlbergs BK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY IF Karlstad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.05.2024 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-1 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
2-4
AWAY IF Karlstad
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad saw off Karlbergs BK 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; IF Karlstad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 57% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 43%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs IF Karlstad?

Karlbergs BK 2-4 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 37%, draw 26%, IF Karlstad 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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