United Nordic 1-4 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.15
Over 2.5
40%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
43%
+17.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
57%
-17.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.5pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United Nordic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.70/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.44
+63% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United Nordic
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.06.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 1-2 HT 1-0 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
30.09.2023 United Nordic United Nordic 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
17.05.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-1 United Nordic United Nordic İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United Nordic
1-4
AWAY Vasalund IF
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH United Nordic vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF cruised past United Nordic 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was United Nordic at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, United Nordic had 52% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 48%, shots finished 20-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, United Nordic had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for United Nordic and 0.33 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of United Nordic vs Vasalund IF?

United Nordic 1-4 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United Nordic vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split United Nordic 45%, draw 26%, Vasalund IF 29%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (United Nordic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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