IF Karlstad 2-1 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+2.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.4pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 26%
+18% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
2.19/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+27% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +134% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IF Karlstad
2-1
AWAY Karlbergs BK
46% Ball Possession 54%
25 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IF Karlstad vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IF Karlstad nicked a narrow win over Karlbergs BK 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had IF Karlstad as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, IF Karlstad had 46% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 54%, shots finished 25-15.

What was the final score of IF Karlstad vs Karlbergs BK?

IF Karlstad 2-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IF Karlstad vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split IF Karlstad 54%, draw 20%, Karlbergs BK 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IF Karlstad), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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