AFC Malmö 2-2 Rosengard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 8 May 2024

📅08/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.2pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosengard EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+26% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Malmö
2-2
AWAY Rosengard
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Malmö vs Rosengard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Malmö and Rosengard couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Malmö had 64% of the ball to Rosengard's 36%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of AFC Malmö vs Rosengard?

AFC Malmö 2-2 Rosengard in the Sweden - 1st Division on 08/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Malmö vs Rosengard?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AFC Malmö 41%, draw 25%, Rosengard 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Malmö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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