Granada (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
7.18
Draw
33%
4.95
Away
33%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
11%
+21.9pp
33%
Draw
17%
+15.9pp
33%
Away Win
71%
-37.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.47/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/0.50
+5% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
10.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.1
12.5 Crosses 20.4
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.79 xG 3.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
242 Passes 388
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 42
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.01.2025 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 3-1 HT 1-1 Granada (K) Granada (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
14.04.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Granada (K) Granada (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada (K)
1-2
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.22 xG 3.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
302 Passes 472
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 43
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Granada (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) squeezed past Granada (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Granada (K) had 41% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 59%, shots finished 6-23, expected goals 0.22 to 3.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Madrid (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Madrid (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Granada (K) and 4.00 for Real Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Granada (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Granada (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Granada (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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