Real Madrid (K) 5-0 Granada (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.18
Draw
33%
6.26
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.33
No
50%
1.53
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
80%
-47.0pp
33%
Draw
13%
+20.2pp
33%
Away Win
7%
+26.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
39%
+11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
61%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
2.46/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.49
+23% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +128% / +87%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.0 Crosses 12.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid (K)
5-0
AWAY Granada (K)
3.54 xG 0.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
406 Passes 273
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 3
14 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid (K) vs Granada (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) ran out comfortable winners over Granada (K) 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Real Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Madrid (K) had 57% of the ball to Granada (K)'s 43%, shots finished 24-2, expected goals 3.54 to 0.23.

What was the final score of Real Madrid (K) vs Granada (K)?

Real Madrid (K) 5-0 Granada (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid (K) vs Granada (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Granada (K) 33%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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14 Apr 2024
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