A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 14 Apr 2024

A. Bilbao (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
Atletico Madrid (K)
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar – 2024

A. Bilbao (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.3pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.8pp
33%
Away Win
44%
-10.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

A. Bilbao (K) v Atletico Madrid (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Atletico Madrid (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
1-0
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.77 xG 0.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
289 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

A. Bilbao (K) nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; A. Bilbao (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 43% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 57%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.77 to 0.90.

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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