Tenerife (K) 2-2 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.13/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.26
+91% / +146% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +111%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
21.4 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife (K)
2-2
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
2.27 xG 1.79
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
141 Passes 322
59% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 21
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tenerife (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife (K) and Madrid CFF (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tenerife (K) had 35% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 65%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.27 to 1.79.

What was the final score of Tenerife (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Tenerife (K) 2-2 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Tenerife (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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