Energie Cottbus 2-4 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.11
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.36
X/2
7%
6.73
X/X
9%
5.24
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
13%
4.42
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-15.0pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
0.78/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.73
+20% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.8 Crosses 20.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
268 Passes 252
68% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-1 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
2-4
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim got the better of Energie Cottbus 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Energie Cottbus at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 54% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 46%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Energie Cottbus 2-4 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 48%, draw 24%, Waldhof Mannheim 28%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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