Sydney United 2-0 Mt Druitt Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney United EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Mt Druitt Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.98/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.34
-27% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.1 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Mt Druitt Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.06 xG 1.65
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
493 Passes 264
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.05.2023 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
10.02.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 3-2 HT 1-0 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town AVNPL
03.06.2022 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 2-2 HT 2-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
20.03.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 2-2 HT 1-1 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town AVNPL
17.04.2021 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
22.08.2020 Mt Druitt Town Mt Druitt Town 4-3 HT 1-0 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Sydney United vs Mt Druitt Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United beat Mt Druitt Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sydney United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mt Druitt Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sydney United and 1.83 for Mt Druitt Town.

What was the final score of Sydney United vs Mt Druitt Town?

Sydney United 2-0 Mt Druitt Town in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney United vs Mt Druitt Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sydney United 49%, draw 23%, Mt Druitt Town 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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