Rockdale Ilinden 4-0 Sydney Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.5pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney Olympic EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.65/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.90
+26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sydney Olympic
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.82 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
388 Passes 248
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 2-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
14.04.2024 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-2 HT 3-1 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
11.06.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 1-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
26.02.2023 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 0-2 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
29.05.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-3 HT 1-3 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
13.03.2022 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 1-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden cruised past Sydney Olympic 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 1.50 for Sydney Olympic.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney Olympic?

Rockdale Ilinden 4-0 Sydney Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 43%, draw 22%, Sydney Olympic 36%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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