Rockdale Ilinden 3-2 Sydney Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney Olympic EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.65/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.90
+22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
323 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sydney Olympic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.06.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 HT 1-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
26.02.2023 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 0-2 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
29.05.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-3 HT 1-3 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
13.03.2022 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 1-1 HT 0-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
23.05.2021 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic 2-2 HT 2-0 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
07.03.2021 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 1-0 HT 0-0 Sydney Olympic Sydney Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden nicked a narrow win over Sydney Olympic 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Rockdale Ilinden made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 1.17 for Sydney Olympic.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney Olympic?

Rockdale Ilinden 3-2 Sydney Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 39%, draw 24%, Sydney Olympic 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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