Canberra FC 2-4 Gungahlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.17
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.9pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gungahlin EU Bookmakers 31%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.74/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.97/0.89
-62% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +113%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gungahlin
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 5-2 HT 1-2 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
27.08.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-5 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
02.07.2023 Canberra FC Canberra FC 3-3 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVTCT
14.05.2023 Gungahlin Gungahlin 2-2 Canberra FC Canberra FC AVNPL
20.08.2022 Canberra FC Canberra FC 2-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
26.06.2022 Canberra FC Canberra FC 0-1 Gungahlin Gungahlin AVNPL
POST-MATCH Canberra FC vs Gungahlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gungahlin saw off Canberra FC 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Canberra FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Canberra FC and 1.83 for Gungahlin.

What was the final score of Canberra FC vs Gungahlin?

Canberra FC 2-4 Gungahlin in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra FC vs Gungahlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Canberra FC 43%, draw 21%, Gungahlin 36%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Canberra FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Canberra FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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