Newcastle Olympic 3-1 Charlestown City Blues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

Newcastle Olympic
3-1 HT 1-1
Charlestown City Blues
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown City Blues Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
40%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.7pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.6pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-10.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Olympic v Charlestown City Blues — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.06/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.39
+51% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +150%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3

Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown City Blues Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Olympic
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Charlestown City Blues
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.07.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 2-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNSW
23.04.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-2 HT 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
10.09.2022 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 0-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNSW
30.07.2022 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
19.03.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-3 HT 1-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
01.08.2021 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-3 HT 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
POST-MATCH Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown City Blues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic beat Charlestown City Blues 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Newcastle Olympic found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlestown City Blues led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newcastle Olympic and 1.67 for Charlestown City Blues.

What was the final score of Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown City Blues?

Newcastle Olympic 3-1 Charlestown City Blues in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown City Blues?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlestown City Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Olympic 29%, draw 31%, Charlestown City Blues 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlestown City Blues), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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