Brisbane Roar II 1-1 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.59
Over 2.5
47%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
23%
+7.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
35%
+18.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
65%
-18.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.4pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 60%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.62/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.01
-70% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +88%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 27.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Peninsula Power
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.45 xG 2.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
325 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 1-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
14.03.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
08.07.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
10.04.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
25.09.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 2-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
11.06.2021 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II and Peninsula Power couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Peninsula Power at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 2.17 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Peninsula Power?

Brisbane Roar II 1-1 Peninsula Power in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 31%, draw 24%, Peninsula Power 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peninsula Power) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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