APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-5 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1-5 HT 0-4
Sydney United
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
62%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
18%
Away Win
18%
-0.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.1pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers v Sydney United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.98/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.57
+4% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.1 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sydney United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.04 xG 1.71
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
304 Passes 305
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.06.2023 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-2 HT 0-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
19.02.2023 Sydney United Sydney United 1-3 HT 0-3 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
31.07.2022 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-3 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
15.05.2022 Sydney United Sydney United 2-2 HT 2-0 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers AVNPL
08.05.2021 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2-3 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
09.10.2020 APIA Leichhardt Tigers APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-4 HT 1-1 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United swept aside APIA Leichhardt Tigers 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. APIA Leichhardt Tigers carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 2.50 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United?

APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1-5 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated a APIA Leichhardt Tigers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split APIA Leichhardt Tigers 59%, draw 24%, Sydney United 18%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (APIA Leichhardt Tigers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
14 Apr 2024
07:30 Newcastle Olympic vs Charlestown City Blues Analysis →
07:30 Broadmeadow Magic vs Lambton Jaffas Analysis →
08:00 Tuggeranong United vs Cooma Tigers Analysis →
08:00 Canberra FC vs Gungahlin Analysis →
08:00 Brisbane Roar II vs Peninsula Power Analysis →
08:00 Western Sydney W. II vs St George City FA Analysis →