Gold Coast United 1-4 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 4 May 2025

Gold Coast United
1-4 HT 1-0
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2025

Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
13%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+8.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.9pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gold Coast United v Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.87/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.31
+32% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.5 Crosses 13.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.78 xG 1.42
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
318 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.06.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-3 HT 0-2 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
11.03.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
20.08.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 3-2 HT 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
09.08.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 3-1 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
17.07.2021 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
18.06.2021 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane cruised past Gold Coast United 4-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gold Coast United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gold Coast United and 1.50 for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane.

What was the final score of Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Gold Coast United 1-4 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast United vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast United 44%, draw 22%, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 34%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gold Coast United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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