St George Willawong 0-3 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.7pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St George Willawong EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
315 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.1
Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH St George Willawong vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II ran out comfortable winners over St George Willawong 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brisbane Roar II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of St George Willawong vs Brisbane Roar II?

St George Willawong 0-3 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St George Willawong vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St George Willawong 31%, draw 27%, Brisbane Roar II 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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