Orsha 3-3 Lokomotiv Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
51%
Away Win
61%
-9.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 66%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.16/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.92
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Orsha Orsha 1-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
09.06.2024 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-1 HT 1-1 Orsha Orsha BLR1
26.08.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-2 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
17.10.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 2-1 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
01.08.2021 Orsha Orsha 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
10.05.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 2-1 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Lokomotiv Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha and Lokomotiv Gomel shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Gomel at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Orsha and 1.17 for Lokomotiv Gomel.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Orsha 3-3 Lokomotiv Gomel in the Belarus - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Orsha 24%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Gomel 51%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Gomel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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