Volta Redonda 1-0 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.8
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 28%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
0.68/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.94
-100% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
30.9 Crosses 18.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volta Redonda
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Paysandu
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2023 Paysandu Paysandu 1-1 HT 1-1 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BRE3
29.05.2023 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 3-0 HT 2-0 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
23.05.2022 Paysandu Paysandu 2-1 HT 1-1 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BRE3
23.08.2021 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 2-2 HT 0-0 Paysandu Paysandu BRE3
19.06.2021 Paysandu Paysandu 0-0 HT 0-0 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda BRE3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volta Redonda
1-0
AWAY Paysandu
2.00 xG 0.59
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 3
403 Passes 245
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Volta Redonda vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volta Redonda nicked a narrow win over Paysandu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Volta Redonda as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Volta Redonda had 61% of the ball to Paysandu's 39%, shots finished 26-13, expected goals 2.00 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Volta Redonda's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Volta Redonda and 1.00 for Paysandu.

What was the final score of Volta Redonda vs Paysandu?

Volta Redonda 1-0 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volta Redonda vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volta Redonda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Volta Redonda 46%, draw 30%, Paysandu 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volta Redonda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Volta Redonda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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