Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-1 Nojima Stella (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 4 May 2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-1 HT 0-1
Nojima Stella (K)
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2024/2025

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) v Nojima Stella (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Nojima Stella (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.66/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.84
-10% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.7

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Nojima Stella (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
06.05.2024 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
06.01.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Nojima Stella (K) Nojima Stella (K) JWEL

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-1 Nojima Stella (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-1
AWAY Nojima Stella (K)
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and Nojima Stella (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 60% of the ball to Nojima Stella (K)'s 40%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 0.33 for Nojima Stella (K).

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-1 Nojima Stella (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Nojima Stella (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 50%, draw 28%, Nojima Stella (K) 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JWEL More Japan - WE League Women's
4 May 2025
08:00 Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Mynavi Sendai (K) Analysis →
08:00 Urawa Red (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Analysis →
09:00 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) Analysis →
10:00 Parceiro Nagano (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K) Analysis →