Llaneros 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.13
No
63%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.6pp
63%
BTTS No
57%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
0.94/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.09
-22% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
19.5 Crosses 17.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llaneros
2-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.83 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
290 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros squeezed past Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Llaneros as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Llaneros had 50% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 50%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.83 to 1.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Llaneros 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llaneros win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 41%, draw 28%, Atletico Bucaramanga 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llaneros) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llaneros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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