Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Pasto v Fortaleza CEIF — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Fortaleza CEIF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 52% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 48%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.70 to 0.89.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.
What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 48%, draw 28%, Fortaleza CEIF 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.