Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Colombia - Primera, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 01:24
Match Result
Home
52%
1.85
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
19%
4.06
Under/Over 2.5
UnderVIEW
63%
1.55
Over
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2-3
46%
4-5
15%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
2%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Deportivo Pasto The Market 54%
Signal
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF The Market 25%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.50 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.77
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
Average Attack Strength Bad
Strong Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.90 xG 0.90
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
186 Passes 405
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
05.03.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1 - 0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.70 xG 0.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
269 Passes 258
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Deportivo Pasto nicked a narrow win over Fortaleza CEIF 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Deportivo Pasto had 52% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 48%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.70 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.00 for Fortaleza CEIF.

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF Result & Final Score

Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 52%, draw 29%, Fortaleza CEIF 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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