Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.48
Over 2.5
31%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
64%
+5.4pp
31%
Over 2.5
36%
-5.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.3pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.13/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.25
+5% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
15.1 Crosses 14.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
413 Passes 195
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
05.03.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0-0
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
0.90 xG 0.90
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
397 Passes 178
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
8 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF and Deportivo Pasto played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 36%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.90 to 0.90.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto?

Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 39%, draw 30%, Deportivo Pasto 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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