Once Caldas 4-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.7pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.17/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.30
+1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
19.2 Crosses 13.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.36 xG 0.95
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
236 Passes 316
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-1 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
30.07.2023 Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
05.02.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
18.10.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
01.05.2022 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
21.11.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
4-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.67 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
325 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Once Caldas swept aside Deportivo Cali 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Once Caldas as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Once Caldas had 55% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 45%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.67 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Once Caldas and 0.33 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?

Once Caldas 4-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 45%, draw 32%, Deportivo Cali 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Once Caldas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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