Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smiltene v Progress / AFA Olaine — Team-Based Signals
Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Progress / AFA Olaine
LET1
4-0
HT 2-0
Smiltene
LET1
Smiltene got the better of Progress / AFA Olaine 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Progress / AFA Olaine at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Progress / AFA Olaine led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Smiltene and 3.67 for Progress / AFA Olaine.
What was the final score of Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Smiltene 4-2 Progress / AFA Olaine in the Latvia - 1st Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smiltene vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Before kick-off our model rated an Progress / AFA Olaine win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Smiltene 31%, draw 27%, Progress / AFA Olaine 42%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Progress / AFA Olaine) went the other way.