Pharco 3-2 Pyramids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
54%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
28%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-7.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Pyramids EU Bookmakers 66%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
0.99/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.65
+42% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
13.1 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Pyramids
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.71 xG 1.40
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
226 Passes 472
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.12.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 3-0 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
30.07.2024 Pharco Pharco 2-2 HT 2-2 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
06.03.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 1-1 HT 0-1 Pharco Pharco MSR
10.01.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 2-2 HT 0-1 Pharco Pharco MISLK
06.06.2023 Pharco Pharco 0-1 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
19.01.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 3-0 HT 2-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
3-2
AWAY Pyramids
1.20 xG 0.84
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
142 Passes 327
59% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 54
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Pyramids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pharco nicked a narrow win over Pyramids 3-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pyramids at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pharco had 35% of the ball to Pyramids's 65%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.20 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pyramids led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pharco and 2.00 for Pyramids.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Pyramids?

Pharco 3-2 Pyramids in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Pyramids?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Pharco 20%, draw 26%, Pyramids 54%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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