Al Ahly 5-0 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
76%
-17.0pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.7pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.80/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.63
+19% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +8%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 69%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
17.8 Crosses 15.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.69 xG 0.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
450 Passes 218
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2025 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
19.07.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
22.06.2023 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
07.09.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
15.12.2019 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 0-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
08.02.2019 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 1-0 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
5-0
AWAY Haras El Hodood
2.38 xG 0.26
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
443 Passes 269
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly swept aside Haras El Hodood 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Ahly had 59% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 41%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 2.38 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Ahly and 0.17 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Haras El Hodood?

Al Ahly 5-0 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 59%, draw 23%, Haras El Hodood 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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