Vard Haugesund 2-1 Brann II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.99
2-3 Goals
42%
2.08
4-5 Goals
27%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
5.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.2pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann II EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.41/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/2.20
-27% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vard Haugesund
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Brann II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
18 Total Shots 31
9 Shots on Target 16
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-0 HT 1-0 Brann II Brann II NOR3
27.05.2024 Brann II Brann II 7-3 HT 3-2 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
POST-MATCH Vard Haugesund vs Brann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vard Haugesund squeezed past Brann II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vard Haugesund as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vard Haugesund and 3.50 for Brann II.

What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Brann II?

Vard Haugesund 2-1 Brann II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Brann II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 50%, draw 20%, Brann II 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vard Haugesund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vard Haugesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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4 May 2025
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