23/09/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Vard Haugesund vs Brann II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
18%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
32%
Draw
22%
30%
Away Win
33%
43%
Under 2.5
22%
57%
Over 2.5
78%
60%
BTTS Yes
74%
40%
BTTS No
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vard Haugesund v Brann II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Vard Haugesund
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Brann II
EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+6% /
+6%
1.58/1.54
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.27/0.77
-13%
/
-11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-11%
/
+114%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
6
438 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
383 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
Vard Haugesund vs Brann II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Vard Haugesund
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Brann II
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
7.00
37%
Ball Possession
63%
18
Total Shots
31
9
Shots on Target
16
3
Corners
8
1
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Vard Haugesund vs Brann II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Vard Haugesund squeezed past Brann II 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Vard Haugesund made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Vard Haugesund vs Brann II?
Vard Haugesund 1-0 Brann II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vard Haugesund vs Brann II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vard Haugesund win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vard Haugesund 38%, draw 32%, Brann II 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vard Haugesund) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Vard Haugesund)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR3
More Norway - 2nd Division
23 Sep 2024