Lysekloster 2-1 Viking Stavanger II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.61
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.65
2-3 Goals
35%
2.5
4-5 Goals
29%
2.33
6+ Goals
20%
3.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
58%
-16.6pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.8pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.0pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lysekloster EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking Stavanger II EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.68/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.58
+20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +29%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
498 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lysekloster
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Viking Stavanger II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2024 Viking Stavanger II Viking Stavanger II 5-1 HT 2-0 Lysekloster Lysekloster NOR3
27.08.2022 Lysekloster Lysekloster 2-3 HT 1-1 Viking Stavanger II Viking Stavanger II NOR4
29.05.2022 Viking Stavanger II Viking Stavanger II 1-0 HT 0-0 Lysekloster Lysekloster NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lysekloster
2-1
AWAY Viking Stavanger II
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lysekloster vs Viking Stavanger II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lysekloster nicked a narrow win over Viking Stavanger II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lysekloster as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Lysekloster had 51% of the ball to Viking Stavanger II's 49%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Viking Stavanger II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lysekloster and 3.00 for Viking Stavanger II.

What was the final score of Lysekloster vs Viking Stavanger II?

Lysekloster 2-1 Viking Stavanger II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lysekloster vs Viking Stavanger II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lysekloster win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lysekloster 42%, draw 28%, Viking Stavanger II 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lysekloster), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lysekloster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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